Week 4 (First Picks)

Week 4 Picks

Opening Kickoff Thursday Night Football

The Minnesota Vikings have been a pain in my sports betting ass for as long as I can remember. Any time I bet against them they play like Super Bowl contenders…. back them to win they look like the Brucie is eating popcorn and taking snaps. Can’t count on them to score either try and go over and they’ll put up a goose egg and I hate betting unders with a passion. But because I need action on a cold Thursday night I need to limit my exposure to the Vikings I like the Rams tt (team total) over 28. If the same Vikings D shows up tonight that allowed rooking QB Josh Allen carve them up like it was Thanksgiving then the efficient offense of the Rams should have this over covered in the 3rd quarter.

Rams tt o28

Three & Out

Texans @ Colts (-1.5)

Andrew Luck has been looking good to start the year and I think the rust is finally off and at home they should be able to get the W. If you’re into following “Sharp Money” the line opened at 3 and has moved down to 1.5 with public money on the Colts…could be some Sharps on the Texans or those same sharps are trying to get the line they want (good read on this subject, Gaming the Game). Regardless, I think the Colts get the win at home.

Colts -1.5

Bears (-3) Vs Bucs

I think it’s safe to say that Fitz-Magic is over. It was clear that he liked his time in the pocket and I don’t think Kalil Mack and company will give it to him. And if Winston thinks for one second that he will do any better…he won’t. The Bears should run away with this one pretty easily.

Bears -3

Patriots (-6.5) Vs Dolphins

Not sure where the trend is for this but when the Pats get their asses kicked the always cover (that was the thought last week and it did’t work) so there’s no way it can happen twice right? I think the Tom Brady and company have seen all the Dolphins have to offer, know the game plan and bring the noise this week.

Pats -6.5

Chip Shot

Eagles (-4) Vs Titans

Wentz will be in prime form this week and even being on the road there isn’t much hope for a banged up Titans squad. I think this line continues to move up from -4 and might hit 6 (ill probably be dead wrong on this) by Sunday. I’m going to get on one early

Eagles -4

 

Hands Team

(DFS lineup) will be posted closer to Sunday

 

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