4/30 Baseball and NBA

4/29 Recap

@tmb.sports 4/29 RECAP Solid 5-2 day but unfortunately the 2 losses were juicier than a Pacific Cooler Capri Sun. We'll take the 2u and move on to Tuesday #CapCut #nbaplayoffs #fyp #mlb ♬ original sound - TMB Sports

4/30 Plays

@tmb.sports 4/30 6 Plays 5 Baseball and 1 NBA today #mlb #fyp #nbaplayoffs ♬ Jump Around - House Of Pain

4/29 Recap

5-2 +2u

Our reads were right across the board yesterday with the exception of the 2 plays that had more juice than a pacific cooler capri sun. That ate a good chunk of our profit yesterday but still managed to log our 3rd straight winning day. The Joker ATM was open last night and helped put a nice end on a nice day.

**4/30 Plays**

Pacers -4

  • This is purely and injury bet. The Bucks are banged up and will be without Dame. Giannis is not 100% and I don't think Middleton can carry the load by himself. Pacers looked good and should get this one done on the road.

Hou o9

  • Don't love either pitcher here and the offense has been good for both teams. The model likes runs here and I agree, let's go both teams.

CHC ff +105

  • Like most first five bets we are betting on starting pitchers. I like how Assad has been trending lately compared to Manaea especially in SO%, Stuff+ and Location+. The model likes Assad and the Cubs bats in the first half.

NYY ff -135

  • Our play with the most juice today. The model really likes how Cortes has been especially recently outperforming his season projections. If it weren't for the O's Hanging a ton of runs on him in just over an inning they would look even better.

Spencer Turnbull o5.5 Ks -115

  • The model has him projected at 6.9 Ks today against an Angels team that strikes out the 8th most in the league. Following the math on this one and taking the positive EV.

Edouard Julien o1.5 TB +160

  • Julien hits this number about 50% of the time and the last time he faced Soroka he tallied 8 total bases. The model has him at 3.2 and at +160 I'm all for it.